It’s just a matter of days until the US Presidential election, and with almost everything from the national polls to the US election odds from Paddy Power indicating a Joe Biden/Democratic victory, what would that mean for the United Kingdom? 

Of course, incumbent President Donald Trump has made it clear in the past that he is a big supporter of the UK leaving Europe, even branding himself “Mr Brexit”. It seemed like Boris Johnson would be able to agree a sought-after trade deal with Trump’s US, as Britain begins to transition out of the EU. 

However, striking up a deal with Democratic nominee Biden, as the White House’s main residence, will be a very tough task for Johnson. It’s no secret that the 77-year-old is far from a fan of the UK prime minister.

It is reported that the pressure is starting to mount in Number 10 Downing Street as a Biden victory grows more-and-more likely, as it is believed a Biden administration won’t take lightly to Brexit. 

George Osborne, a former Chancellor of the Exchequer under David Cameron, told American news outlet CNN: “There’s no doubt that the Brexit government here will face a challenge with a Biden administration.” 

Mr Osborne went on to say Biden will be more than aware that the ‘Brexiteers’ formed a close relationship with his rival, and he doesn’t think the Democratic nominee will ‘feel particularly warm towards the British government’ and Johnson and his team are going to have to ‘work very hard’ to change that. 

More worrying for the prime minister, who reportedly hasn’t been able to meet with a member of Biden’s foreign policy team for weeks, is the fact that the US law that would grant a fast-tracked trade deal to go through Congress expires in July, with the initial agreement needing to be in place by April – which gives Johnson’s cabinet just four months to strike up a deal with Biden’s administration – should he win. 

The odds of a deal being agreed between the UK and US within those four months are slim, as – according The Guardian’s Andrew Rawnsley – Johnson’s name is going to be far from the top of the list of Biden’s contacts. 

“Boris Johnson will not be the first name on Joe Biden’s call sheet if he becomes the 46th president. Nor is there any expectation that Mr Johnson will be first in line when they hand out invitations to the White House. He has already quit a race UK prime ministers are usually pretty good at winning,” Rawnsley said. 

If Johnson is to get Biden on side, he will need to ensure Northern Ireland’s Good Friday Agreement remains intact. The Democratic candidate is proud of his Irish links, and the 1998 agreement, which brought peace to Northern Ireland, could become a casualty of a no-deal Brexit. 

In September, Biden tweeted: “We can’t allow the Good Friday Agreement that brought peace to Northern Ireland to become a casualty of Brexit. Any trade deal between the U.S. and U.K. must be contingent upon respect for the Agreement and preventing the return of a hard border. Period.”

There’s no doubt that it’s going to be a tough task for the UK government to win over a Biden administration, and we’re sure that Johnson will be keeping his fingers-crossed for an unlikely Trump victory come next week.